Worldwide All Hazards Briefing for 14 July 2017, 11:00 am EDT / 15:00 GMT

September 22nd, 2014

World SynopsisThunderstorms and heavy rains can be expected for parts of the U.S. In Europe, hot weather continues for parts of Spain, Portugal and in China. Heavy rains for parts and Asia and India.

 

Tropical Severe Weather –

Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Fernanda is well into the Pacific will not be a threat to land.

 

North America Severe Weather

 

US / Canada Synopsis: A slow-moving cold moving through the Eastern U.S. will ignite Widely scattered thunderstorms with damaging winds are possible across portions of the Central Appalachians and the Mid-Atlantic on Friday. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding will also be possible.

 

    Severe Thunderstorm Outlook for today and tonight – There is a SLIGHT RISK with the development of severe thunderstorms as widely scattered damaging winds will be possible today across parts of the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic vicinity. Isolated severe storms will be possible elsewhere across portions of the eastern states to the Mid-South, across the north-central states, as well as central and southern Arizona.

Discussion – Storms from the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys to the mid-Atlantic will continue to unleash torrential downpours and gusty winds into the end of the week. A surplus of moisture will be wrung out of the atmosphere in the form of towering clouds, showers and thunderstorms through Friday night.

With the amount of moisture available, the slow-moving and repeating nature of the storms will greatly elevate the risk of flash and urban flooding. In some areas, a mere 1-2 inches of rain in as many hours can trigger flash flooding. Flash Flood Watches are in effect for parts of southeastern Ohio, northern West Virginia, and a small part of southwestern Pennsylvania.  Also, watches are in effect for central upstate New York.

This is the type of setup that can leave people stranded for a while, where rain quickly inundates small communities, portions of cities and stretches of major highways. In some cases, streets will become fast-moving rivers. Storm drains may be overwhelmed and small streams could rapidly overflow their banks. Torrential rainfall could even flood some subway tunnel entrances.

In addition to an enhanced risk for flash flooding, a smaller number of the storms will produce strong wind gusts and/or hail. A couple of the strongest storms may produce a brief tornado. The main threat for locally severe storms will focus over part of the mid-Atlantic region into Friday night.

Areas from the Chesapeake and Delaware bays to the Susquehanna and Delaware valleys to the Pocono Mountains will be at greatest risk of violent weather.

Airline delays are likely as storms approach the major hubs. Sporadic power outages are possible, while tree limbs could break and trees could be uprooted by highly-localized strong gusts.

And looking towards the weekend –

The next risk of severe storms for the western Great Lakes region will increase on Saturday ahead of a new push of cool air from Canada. Following sunshine and a much-needed break from flooding rainfall, severe thunderstorms will return to the Upper Midwest to kick off the weekend. Minneapolis and Rochester, Minnesota, and La Crosse and Green Bay, Wisconsin, are just a few of the cities at risk for severe weather.

A storm system moving southward from Canada is forecast to trigger isolated but powerful thunderstorms across much of Wisconsin, southern and eastern Minnesota and northern Iowa beginning on Saturday afternoon and continuing through the overnight hours. Thunderstorms will develop by Saturday afternoon across the Upper Midwest, and some of these thunderstorms will have the potential to become severe and feed off the warm, humid air that will briefly make a comeback.

Many locations in the Upper Midwest have received 2 to as much as 6 inches of rain in the past week, with the heaviest, repeated rainfall inundating areas stretching from northern Iowa to southwestern Wisconsin and northern Illinois. It would take as little as 1.5 to 2 inches of additional rainfall in a short amount of time in these areas to result in flash flooding of streams, creeks and rivers. Lives and property may be at risk as the potential exists for washed-out area roadways.

Major flooding was in progress on both the Fox and Des Plaines rivers in northern Illinois and southeastern Wisconsin during Friday morning. A crest may not occur in some locations until late in the weekend or early next week.

The main threats from the storms into Saturday night will be damaging winds and hail. However, even with the isolated nature of the storms, highly localized flooding is possible. Any additional heavy rainfall will only exacerbate ongoing flooding issues, threaten to delay recovery efforts in areas where waters have begun to recede and put even more homes and property at risk for significant water damage.

Sporadic power outages are possible where the strongest winds occur, and trees can easily be uprooted or blown down when battered by gusty winds for as short as a few minutes.

As the storms push southward and eastward into the first half of Saturday night, they should begin to weaken before reaching locations such as Grand Rapids, Wisconsin, and Chicago. Dry weather should return to the Upper Midwest on Sunday. However, another round of damaging thunderstorms and potentially heavy rainfall may threaten these same areas again by the first half of next week.

 

 

 

Canada – Widespread severe weather is not expected.

 

International Severe Weather

 

Caribbean / Central / South America Widespread severe weather is not expected.

 

EMEAFor today and Saturday – Hot and dry across the Mediterranean, Iberia and also south-eastern Europe. Temperatures over 40C in southern Spain and Portugal.

 

Asia / Pacific Rim China – Hot and rainy: The National Meteorological Center continued to issue an orange warning for heat wave. On the daytime of July 14, the temperature of western Inner Mongolia, Gansu, eastern Northwest China, central-southern North China, South of the Yangtze River, eastern South China and South Xinjiang Basin will exceed 35℃. In central-southern Hebei, western and southern Shanxi, northeastern Shaanxi, Guanzhong areas, northern Ningxia, western Gansu, Zhejiang, central Jiangxi and South Xinjiang Basin, the maximum temperature will reach 37-39℃ even exceed 40℃.

The National Meteorological Center continued to issue blue warning of severe convective weather. From 2:00 p.m. of July 14 to 15, scale 8-9 thunderstorm, gale and light hail will hit northeastern Heilongjiang, central-southern Liaoning, central Inner Mongolia, central-southern Shanxi, northern and southern Hebei, western and northern Beijing, northern and southeastern Jiangsu, central-eastern Henan, central Chongqing and western Xinjiang.  Central-eastern Liaoning, southeastern Jilin, central-northern and southern Hebei, western and northern Beijing, Shandong, Henan, eastern and central Sichuan, Chongqing, western Hubei, northern Anhui, northern and southern Jiangsu, southern Zhejiang, northeastern and southern Yunnan, southern Guangdong, Hainan and western Xinjiang will see short-term severe precipitation.

 

 

Indochina Peninsula – More monsoonal rains: The monsoon trough lies across the upper North and the upper Northeast to the active low pressure over the middle of South China Sea. The strong southwest monsoon prevails across the Andaman Sea and Thailand. During 14-19 July, abundant rain with torrential downpour is likely over much of the region from Vietnam to Thailand. People should beware of severe weather conditions.

 

India – Heavy rains will bring the threat of flash flooding to the following areas expect heavy with the threat of flash flooding for Coastal Karnataka, Saurashtra & Kutch, Gujarat Region, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra.

The same monsoon low responsible for the deadly flooding in India’s Assam state will put lives and property at risk across western India this weekend. Residents in Ahmedabad, Bhuj, Rajkot and Surat will be on high alert for significant flooding as the monsoon low spreads heavy rain westward across Gujarat. Rainfall totals along the low’s path will average 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) with local amounts to 300 mm (12 inches). At the same time, locally heavy rainfall will persistently stream into Mumbai and the rest of coastal Maharashtra.

Runoff from the excessive rain may overwhelm streams and rivers, forcing them out of their banks and flooding nearby land and neighborhoods. Interests should prepare for possible evacuations, road closures and damaged bridges. The risk for flooding will be greatest underneath the monsoon low in Gujarat. Any flooding around Mumbai will be on a more localized level.

The monsoon low and its heaviest rain may push offshore by Sunday. However, localized downpours will continue to stream onto India’s western coast into early next week. Across most of the rest of India, another developing monsoon low will bring an increase in downpours in Odisha and Chhattisgarh this weekend.

Pockets of 50-100 mm (2-4 inches) of rain will pour down and raise the risk for localized flash flooding. Monsoonal shower and thunderstorm activity around New Delhi and Chennai will be very spotty in nature this weekend.

In northeastern India, most of the activity will occur in the mountains. However, a shower or thunderstorm may occasionally drift over the Brahmaputra River Valley, especially later in the day and at night.

Any heavier downpour will renew or worsen ongoing flooding triggered by the monsoon.

The death toll from flooding over the past two weeks in northeastern India stands at 83, according to Reuters. Assam was hit the hardest, with 53 lives lost in floods and landslides. Roughly 2 million people have been displaced, Assam Chief Minister Sarbananda told Reuters. The city of North Lakhimpur was inundated with more than 340 mm (13 inches) of rain earlier this week. The Brahmaputra River and its tributaries significantly overflowed their banks but have since started to recede.

Looking ahead to next week, a new monsoon low is expected to track from eastern to western India with a renewed danger of flooding rain. Downpours may further increase across northeastern India.

 

Flu Activity http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/fluactivitysurv.htm

 

The Internet Traffic Report: http://www.internettrafficreport.com/

 

The Swinden Group, LLC

One World – One Contact –Many Resources

Security / Investigations / Protection / Consulting

Weather Risk Management

e-Travel Alerts Partners with The Swinden Group to Keep Travelers Safe and Informed

August 24th, 2010

August 24th, 2010, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada — e-Travel Technologies Inc of Mississauga ON, today announced a reciprocal content agreement with the Swinden Group, LLC of Evergreen, Colorado. Each company will access the other’s travel safety and security content to support and enhance services to their respective customers.

Don Churchill, President of eTravel Technologies commented, “Accessing and deploying Swinden’s content will make a significant contribution to the content all of our e-Travel Alerts products, and with Swinden’s clients being exposed to our services makes this is truly a win-win relationship.”

Matt Swinden, President of the Swinden Group stated. “We are pleased to be partnering with e-Travel Alerts as the information they provide is paramount in keeping the business traveler safe and well informed so that they are able to make informed decisions about their travel itinerary. Combined with the Swinden Group’s Severe Weather Advisories, not only is a globetrotting traveler informed about potential travel risks, but also the travel manager and the corporate security professional are kept informed of potential issues and / or incidents.”

“What started out as a product geared towards the corporate security and business continuity departments of corporations has now expanded to the business traveler,” explains Swinden “e-Travel Alerts is a natural fit with Severe Weather Advisories and our clients who need to keep tabs on travel impacting events.”

About The Swinden Group LLC
The Swinden Group, LLC, through its global strategic vendor network, provides companies and organizations security consulting, executive protection, investigations, and crisis / risk management services. Severe Weather Advisories is a subscription based service so that corporations and business travelers are better prepared for severe weather events that may impact business operations and travel.

About e-Travel Technologies, Inc
With a 20 year track record, e-Travel Technologies Inc is a recognized provider of travel risk management information services contributing to traveler protection and corporation’s Duty of Care compliance. To date their services are used by Travel Management Companies around the world.

For additional information contact:

e-Travel Technologies Inc
+1-866-319-4847
Info@eTravelTechnologies.com
www.eTravelTechnologies.com

The Swinden Group, LLC
+1-303-406-3622
weather@theswindengroup.com
www.TheSwindenGroup.com