Worldwide All Hazards Briefing for 9 January 2019, 11:00 am EST / 16:00 GMT

September 22nd, 2014

World Synopsis – Winter weather for parts of the U.S., Canada, Europe.

 

Tropical Severe Weather –

 

There are no threatening tropical cyclones at this time.

 

North America Severe Weather

 

US / Canada Synopsis: Heavy snow will impact parts of northern New England through Wednesday (from Upstate New York to Maine), as back to back low pressure systems sweep to the Northeastern Seaboard and drive a cold temperature regime into the East. Meanwhile, another very large and powerful Pacific storm will impact the West through tomorrow with more heavy rain, mountain snow, gusty winds and high surf.

 

NWS Watch Warning Advisory Hazards KMZ requires Google Earth or like KMZ reader.

 

Western States – Heavy Rains and mountains snows as a train of storms moves through. Winter Storm Warnings for parts of the Washington Cascades along with Winter Weather Advisories (purple) are in effect, also for the Sierras of California as a new round of rain, mountain snow and gusty winds will take aim at the West Coast of the United States by midweek. Expect the usual hazardous winter travel conditions.

Northern California will again bear the brunt of the rainfall with this storm into Wednesday. Lighter rain will dampen areas farther north, including Portland, Oregon; and Seattle.

The risk of flash flooding and mudslides may be greatest with this storm, as the ground is already saturated and the hillsides in recent burn areas are likely to be unstable.

People should heed all evacuation orders for their area, if given, as there may only be minutes to move to safety.

Gusty winds will again whip along the coast and in the mountains, potentially leading to more damage in communities that were hit hard over the weekend. Even though winds are not expected to be as strong as they were over the weekend, it does not take as high of a wind gust to topple trees and power lines when the ground is saturated.

Another round of snowy, treacherous travel is in store for the mountains. Any rain at the storm’s onset should quickly change to snow and cause treacherous travel at Donner Summit.

Slick travel may not be confined to the typical mountain passes.

“There will be enough lingering cold air for snow or ice in some of the interior valleys of the Northwest with the midweek storm. Motorists should use caution across central and eastern Oregon, Washington and the Idaho Panhandle into Wednesday.

People with travel plans late in the week will be glad to hear that mainly dry weather is expected late Thursday into Friday.

However, another dose of rain and mountain snow is expected to roll in Friday night into Saturday. That storm may bring soaking rain and a risk of mudslides to parts of Southern California as well as Northern California. Oregon and Washington should be spared from any impact from this storm.

 

California – More rain on the way to increase mudslide threat: Another storm will slide into Southern California with soaking rain by the weekend, putting burn-scar areas at a renewed risk for life-threatening flooding and mudslides. The storm bringing another round of rain and mountain snow to Northern California and the Pacific Northwest into Wednesday will bypass Southern California, allowing for dry weather to prevail for additional debris removal into Friday. However, the next Pacific storm is expected to take more of a southerly track into the West Coast.

This system will be directed more at Southern California and should bring a significant chance for rain Friday night into Saturday. Rain may first skirt the Northern and central California coastlines before sliding southward into the Los Angeles and San Diego metro areas.

Despite this storm being a quick hitter with rainfall generally limited to six hours or less, the rain can come down fast enough over the hilly and burn-scarred terrain to create problems.

Flash flooding, mudslides and road closures will all be possibilities with this storm.

People living near or downhill of the Creek, La Tuna, Thomas, Woolsey and Whittier burn areas should make sure they stay up to date on the latest forecast and heed all evacuation issues that are ordered by local officials.

There is the potential that the heaviest rain with this storm stays just offshore, which would limit flood and mudslide concerns in Southern California. However, disruptions to travel can still occur. Airline delays are possible in San Francisco and Los Angeles.

Unlike prior systems, the Northwest will be spared from any impacts with this storm.

 

 

 

The Great Lakes to the Northeast: Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories remain in effect as the latest system ushers in lake effect snow of up to a foot and heavy snow for the mountains of New England through Thursday.  Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact morning and evening commutes.

The combination of the gusty winds and colder air pouring over the abnormally warm waters of the Great Lakes will trigger flurries, blinding snow squalls and bands of heavy lake-effect snow from northwest to southeast from Michigan to parts of Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, western Maryland and northeastern West Virginia into Wednesday night.

It is possible that a snow shower reaches all the way to the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts.

Motorists should be prepared for highly variable weather conditions ranging from breaks of sunshine to flurries and blinding snow from Wednesday to Thursday from the Great Lakes to parts of the central Appalachians. Road conditions can range from dry to icy and snow covered in less than a mile along portions of Interstates 75, 76, 79, 80, 81, 86, 90 and 96.

A foot of snow may fall in areas where bands of lake-effect snow persist in northern Michigan, northwestern Pennsylvania and western and northern New York state.

Major disruptions to daily routines, as well as school closures, can be anticipated in the traditional snow belts.

Meanwhile, the second snowstorm in two days will deposit heavy snow over northern New England and New Brunswick.

The cold air invasion will set the stage for a large-scale winter storm from a portion of the middle Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley, interior South and part of the Northeast this weekend.

 

The Midwest to the East – Another Winter Storm later this week: The stage is being set for accumulating snow and travel problems from Missouri to portions of Kentucky, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio this weekend. Expect snow to break out over southern and central Missouri late Friday and spread eastward across the Ohio Valley states during Friday night and Saturday.

As the storm progresses, rain is likely to change to snow over northern Arkansas and perhaps fill in farther west across parts of eastern Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. Motorists should anticipate delays and slippery conditions along the Interstate 64 and 70 corridors, where anywhere from a coating to 6 inches or more of snow may fall.

The heaviest amount of snow may be centered from central and southeastern Missouri to southern Illinois and southern Indiana. It is possible that sleet may be the primary form of precipitation in part of northern Arkansas and may cut down on total storm accumulation.

Airline delays related to deicing and/or plowing operations can be expected in St. Louis, Cincinnati and Indianapolis. This storm is likely to be the biggest of the winter season so far in these locations and others. Flight cancellations are possible.

Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland and Topeka and Wichita, Kansas, may be on the edge of the storm with a period of light snow possible.

Slippery conditions may develop along portions of the I-80/90 corridor from Illinois to Ohio this weekend, following the cold winds and areas of lake-effect snow into Thursday.

Over parts of Kentucky and eastern Tennessee, fluctuating temperatures during the storm will allow periods of snow, ice and rain. However, Nashville and Memphis, Tennessee, will likely receive all rain from the storm.

The storm is forecast to end from west to east later in the weekend. Precipitation is likely to end over much of Missouri and Arkansas Saturday night, then over much of the Ohio and Tennessee valleys on Sunday.

In the wake of the storm from the middle Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley, wet areas may become icy unless treated with salt or similar compounds.

For interests and travelers heading to the east, the storm is projected to bring a substantial amount of wintry precipitation and slippery conditions from portions of North Carolina to Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland and Delaware on Sunday. How heavy snow is over Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York state and southern New England will depend on the track of the storm as it reorganizes along the Atlantic coast.

 

Canada New Brunswick – Snowfall with total amounts of 15 to 25 cm is expected. Significant snowfall expected tonight and Wednesday for most of New Brunswick, changing to rain over southern regions.

A low pressure system approaching from the west will move into the region on Wednesday then slowly track across northeastern New Brunswick Wednesday night. Light snow will begin over western New Brunswick this morning and slowly spread eastward this afternoon and evening. As the low approaches tonight, the snow will increase in intensity overnight into Wednesday morning. The snow will change to rain over southern New Brunswick on Wednesday. Total snowfall accumulations of 15 to 30 cm are expected with the highest amounts over central and northeastern regions. The snow will persist over portions of northern New Brunswick Wednesday night. Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become difficult to navigate due to accumulating snow. There may be a significant impact on rush hour traffic in urban areas.

 

International Severe Weather

 

Caribbean / Central / South America Uruguay/ Southern Brazil – Thunderstorms with heavy rains will move out Uruguay and into neighboring Brazil through tonight.  Plan on flash flooding with disruption to transportation.

 

EMEAFor Europe, today through Thursday – Gusty wind and winter weather:

Another blast of cold winds and snow will impact areas from Germany into the Alps and surrounding countries on into Thursday. Cold air from Scandinavia and western Russia will be pulled into central and eastern Europe on Wednesday, setting the stage for widespread snowfall. While the highest elevations will get the heaviest snowfall, lower elevations will still be at risk for accumulating snowfall.
Snow showers will whiten the ground at times across central and eastern Germany as well as western Poland into the day on Thursday. Periods of snow, some heavy, will fall across southern Saxony, Bavaria and southern Baden-Wurttemberg from into Thursday, leading to widespread travel disruption. Total snowfall of 8-15 cm (3-6 inches) will be possible in Stuttgart, Munich and Dresden during this time.

The highest elevations of eastern and southern Germany, Switzerland, northern Italy, Austria and Czechia can expect 30-90 mm (1-3 feet) of new snowfall by Friday morning. Roads to several ski resorts across the region were closed due to the extreme snowfall, and a new round of travel stoppages in the Alps is possible due to heavy snowfall from this storm.

Gusty winds on Thursday and Friday will cause blowing and drifting along with poor visibility at times.

Snow will also fall across Slovakia, Hungary, Serbia, Croatia and Slovenia, where amounts ranging from a coating to 8 cm (3 inches) are expected through Friday morning.

A pair of additional storms will strike the region from Friday into Sunday, bringing the risk for more snowfall and gusty winds. A push of milder air with each of these storms will limit significant snowfall to the higher elevations by Saturday and Sunday.

As the milder air arrives, rain will fall in Frankfurt, Dresden and Berlin on Saturday. The milder air will expand south and east on Sunday, causing precipitation to fall as rain in Stuttgart, Munich, Prague and Warsaw.

While this milder air will limit the risk for accumulating snowfall in the lower elevations, there will continue to be a high threat for avalanches in the mountains.

 

After moving through central Europe, the storm is then set to bring winter weather to the Balkans and Ukraine later this week. A storm is set to bring disruptive snowfall to areas from the Balkan Peninsula to Ukraine in the coming days. The storm will gain strength on Wednesday as it tracks from Italy into the Balkan Peninsula, bringing the risk for snow to interior locations from northern Greece to Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia and southwestern Romania. The heaviest snow will fall in the mountains of northern Greece, Albania and Macedonia from Wednesday into Thursday, with some locations picking up more than 30 cm (12 inches) of snow.

Lower elevations will not escape this disruptive snow, with Sarajevo, Belgrade and Sofia all expecting accumulating snowfall on Wednesday. Snow will continue to fall across the southern Balkans on Wednesday night before tapering off during the day on Thursday. Widespread snowfall of 2-8 cm (1-3 inches) is expected, with local amounts up to 15 cm (6 inches). The storm will cause snow-covered and icy paved surfaces, isolated road closures and transportation delays.

Cold and generally dry weather will prevail across the region on Friday, with the risk for lingering icy spots as temperatures remain near or below freezing.

The snow will spread into Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca and Chisinau on Wednesday night, with additional accumulations expected on Thursday. The heaviest snowfall from Thursday night into Friday will be from northern Romania into Moldova and Ukraine. These areas can expect total snowfall of 8-15 cm (3-6 inches) by the end of the day on Friday. Travel disruptions are expected, with the hardest-hit areas potentially seeing tree damage and power outages. A brief period of dry weather is expected from Romania into Ukraine on Saturday before the threat for snow showers returns on Sunday.

 

Asia / Pacific Rim – Southern China – Moderate to heavy rains through Friday for eastern and southern Southwest China, eastern Yangtze-Hanshui basin, South of the Yangtze River, western and northern South China will get more overcast and rain weather. Heavy rain will hit northern and southwestern South of the Yangtze River.

 

Australia – Queensland –

Despite weakening further after making landfall between Townsville and Mackay, Penny will continue to bring heavy rainfall to the region for several days. In fact, the heaviest rainfall for the region is expected from Wednesday into Thursday as Penny moves inland.

Downpours will shift northward into Cairns by Thursday before expanding to the remainder of the Cape York Peninsula for Friday. Many locations along the central and northern coast of Queensland could get 100 mm (4 inches) of rain through Friday. Hardest-hit locations could receive a maximum of 300 mm (12 inches).

Damaging winds are not expected from Penny; however, gusty winds will lash coastal locations from Mackay to Townsville into Wednesday before subsiding after Penny moves inland.

 

 

U.S. State Department Travel Advisories for your intended destination. Click here for a complete list, or see the world at a glance on our color-coded map.

 

Flu Activity http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/fluactivitysurv.htm

 

The Internet Traffic Report: http://www.internettrafficreport.com/

 

The Swinden Group, LLC

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Email: matt@theswindengroup.com

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e-Travel Alerts Partners with The Swinden Group to Keep Travelers Safe and Informed

August 24th, 2010

August 24th, 2010, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada — e-Travel Technologies Inc of Mississauga ON, today announced a reciprocal content agreement with the Swinden Group, LLC of Evergreen, Colorado. Each company will access the other’s travel safety and security content to support and enhance services to their respective customers.

Don Churchill, President of eTravel Technologies commented, “Accessing and deploying Swinden’s content will make a significant contribution to the content all of our e-Travel Alerts products, and with Swinden’s clients being exposed to our services makes this is truly a win-win relationship.”

Matt Swinden, President of the Swinden Group stated. “We are pleased to be partnering with e-Travel Alerts as the information they provide is paramount in keeping the business traveler safe and well informed so that they are able to make informed decisions about their travel itinerary. Combined with the Swinden Group’s Severe Weather Advisories, not only is a globetrotting traveler informed about potential travel risks, but also the travel manager and the corporate security professional are kept informed of potential issues and / or incidents.”

“What started out as a product geared towards the corporate security and business continuity departments of corporations has now expanded to the business traveler,” explains Swinden “e-Travel Alerts is a natural fit with Severe Weather Advisories and our clients who need to keep tabs on travel impacting events.”

About The Swinden Group LLC
The Swinden Group, LLC, through its global strategic vendor network, provides companies and organizations security consulting, executive protection, investigations, and crisis / risk management services. Severe Weather Advisories is a subscription based service so that corporations and business travelers are better prepared for severe weather events that may impact business operations and travel.

About e-Travel Technologies, Inc
With a 20 year track record, e-Travel Technologies Inc is a recognized provider of travel risk management information services contributing to traveler protection and corporation’s Duty of Care compliance. To date their services are used by Travel Management Companies around the world.

For additional information contact:

e-Travel Technologies Inc
+1-866-319-4847
Info@eTravelTechnologies.com
www.eTravelTechnologies.com

The Swinden Group, LLC
+1-303-406-3622
weather@theswindengroup.com
www.TheSwindenGroup.com